If you invested $158500000 in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2002, you would have about $530,558,013.81 at the end of 2017, assuming you reinvested all dividends. This is a return on investment of 234.74%, or **7.84% per year**.

This lump-sum investment beats inflation during this period for an inflation-adjusted return of about 145.67% cumulatively, or **5.78% per year**.

If you used dollar-cost averaging (monthly) instead of a lump-sum investment, you'd have $612,798,910.23.

The graph below shows the performance of $158500000 over time if invested in an S&P 500 index fund. The returns assume that all dividends are automatically reinvested.

This chart shows the rate of gains and loss by month, including dividends:

The *nominal* return on investment of $158500000 is $372,058,013.81, or 234.74%. This means by 2017 you would have $530,558,013.81 in your pocket.

However, it's important to take into account the effect of inflation when considering an investment and especially a long-term investment. You can convert S&P returns to their *real* (inflation-adjusted) value using an inflation calculation based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI).

In the case of the returns described above, the CPI in 2002 was 179.900 and the CPI in 2017 was 245.120.

The ratio between these CPIs describes how relative buying power of a dollar has changed over 15 years.

Adjusted for inflation, the $530,558,013.81 *nominal* end value of the original $158500000 investment would have a *real* return of roughly **$230,890,448.29** in 2002 dollars. This means the inflation-adjusted return is **145.67%** as opposed to the original 234.74%.

For more information on inflation, see our U.S. inflation calculator for 2002.

The table below shows the full dataset pertaining to a $158500000 investment, including gains and losses over the 192-month period between 2002 and 2017.

Note that data shown is the *monthly average closing price*. Returns include dividends.

Remember, returns are based on the average closing price across the *entire* month. Some losses are offset by dividend returns.

Dollar-cost averaging is an alternative to investing the full lump-sum of $158,500,000.00 up-front. Instead, the capital is invested over a period of time.

Consider a strategy in which $158,500,000.00 was invested in the S&P 500 over a period of no more than 24 months beginning in 2002. This would result in a final amount of $612,798,910.23, including dividend reinvestments. In this particular case, dollar-cost average returns are **greater than** the returns of a lump-sum investment (which ends with $530,558,013.81).

The information on this page is derived from Robert Shiller's book, Irrational Exuberance and the accompanying dataset, as well as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly CPI logs.

Note that S&P index value for the current quarter is based on a moving average of closing prices, per Robert Shiller's methodology. The inflation data used is based on annual CPI averages.

Start Value Average monthly close | $1,140.21 |

End Value Average monthly close | $2,275.12 |

Change in price | +99.54% +4.71% / yr |

Change incl. dividends | +234.74% +7.84% / yr |

Change incl. dividends, inflation-adjusted | +145.67% +5.78% / yr |

Final amount, nominal ($158500000 base) | $530,558,013.81 |

Final amount, inflation-adjusted ($158500000 base) | $389,390,448.29 |